Thomas Chadefaux

Publications by Thomas Chadefaux

• Using machine learning to forecast conflict events for use in forced migration models

  PUBLICATION:	Scientific Reports
  AUTHOR(S):	Yani Xue, Thomas Schincariol, Thomas Chadefaux, Derek Groen
  DATE:	02 August 2025
  TYPE:	Journal Articles

• Endogenous conflict and the limits of predictive optimization

  PUBLICATION:	EPJ Data Science
  AUTHOR(S):	Thomas Chadefaux, Thomas Schincariol
  DATE:	21 November 2025
  TYPE:	Journal Articles

• Accounting for variability in conflict dynamics: A pattern-based predictive model

  PUBLICATION:	Journal of Peace Research
  AUTHOR(S):	Thomas Schincariol, Hannah Frank, Thomas Chadefaux
  DATE:	22 May 2025
  TYPE:	Journal Articles

• Temporal Patterns in Migration Flows Evidence from South Sudan

  PUBLICATION:	Journal of Forecasting
  AUTHOR(S):	Thomas Schincariol, Thomas Chadefaux
  DATE:	11 November 2024
  TYPE:	Journal Articles

• Dynamic Synthetic Controls

  PUBLICATION:	Political Analysis
  AUTHOR(S):	Jian Cao, Thomas Chadefaux
  DATE:	05 November 2024
  TYPE:	Journal Articles

• The effect of terrorist attacks on attitudes and its duration

  PUBLICATION:	Political Science Research and Methods
  AUTHOR(S):	Oguzhan Turkoglu, Thomas Chadefaux
  DATE:	10 February 2022
  TYPE:	Journal Articles